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Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) in a renewed up-move

4/1/2014

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Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) $DJIA
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) recently broke through resistances that had held the index in a sideways zone for nearly 6 months, from May 2013 to November 2013. As predicted, on the break of resistance at 15655, the index has renewed its previous trend & is now at 16500.

The old support & resistance points/zones are marked in the chart above, you can click on the following link to read the older post on the DJIA - http://www.marketlok.com/4/post/2013/10/djia-index-the-government-shutdown-blues.html

Lookin at the present, as mentioned earlier the DJIA has renewed it's previous up-trend & has already moved up over 900 points. The index is holding support levels very well as of now & has shown very large momentum. This is expected as the 6 month sideways zone on the index has acted as a propulsion zone.

Supports for the index are at 16196, 15704, 15530 & 15396. The support levels at 16916 & 15704 are strong, some price action around these price pints will not do any damage to the index in the medium to long term. The support levels at 15530 & 15396 form a support zone, which is very strong & hence important. Any breach of this zone will end the prospects of the up-move continuing & might push the index into a sideways zone or even into a down trend, which looks very unlikely as of now. Resistance will be seen at 16690, 16958.5 & 17300. These are also the next immediate targets for the index.

The index has surpassed all performance expectations so far. The sideways zone from May to November 2013 has only made the trend stronger. The DJIA is still very bullish & will remain bullish as long as it holds important support levels, which are - 15530-15386 as of now.
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Will XEROX (XRX) move out of it's sideways zone?

13/11/2013

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Picture
XEROX (XRX) started it's up-move in January 2013 at the breach of an important pivot at 7.5. The stock is now at 10.7, with a recent high at 11.15. Returns amount to over 40% from the entry price mentioned previously. Life-time high for the stock is around 64 which was formed way back in 1999.

A general question asked is will this up move take the stock up to it's life-time highs? That's a question better answered with smaller targets & by carefully watching the stock for important pivots over the long term. As of now the stock has taken a break from the up-move, the indication of the break came at the end of August 2013 as market on the chart. Since then we've so far seen sideways action in the stock for 3 to 4 months & more recently some volatile price action too. The original indication for this sideways zone came at the break of $9.82, now the price point has moved slightly to 9.95. This will be an important support that the stock will have to remain above in order to stabilize and continue the up-move. Further supports for the stock are at 9.64, 8.27 & 8.11. The support at 9.64 is strong for the stock & breaking this will put the future of the stock in jeopardy but that does not mean that the stock will turn bearish but it might end up being sideways to volatile for a long while. But below this the support zone at 8.27 to 8.11 is very critical & breaching this will mean that the stock will enter a bear market.

The stock is showing strong resistance at 11.15 which is also the recent high for the stock. Resistance above this price level will be seen at 12.1 & 20.35.

So far the stock is taking a break from it's recent up-move & has turned a little volatile recently but it does not seem to be weakening yet. Forming a strong base here might result in a continued up trend in the stock in the near future. 9.64 will be a critical support level to watch for in the stock at present.
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Electronic Arts (EA) strong & in a consolidation at support

30/10/2013

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Electronic Arts Inc. - Daily Chart
After bottoming out in 2012 & rallying for over a year Electronic Arts (EA) has recently seen a 25% dip from it's recent top. In the past EA went through two rallies, the first ended with a life-time high at around 70 followed by a 6 year bear market on the stock which ended in 2011. The second rally began & ended in the same year 2011, this was a very reluctant up-move which ended with very little returns. Now the recent up-move which began around September 2012 is not so reluctant. So far it has been smooth & strong, with frequent consolidation action with strong continuation patterns.

The stock has so far shown cash returns of around 100% i.e. from $14 to a high of $28. The consolidation that's happening right now is a little larger than the recent few, as the up-move has also been larger than the last few up-swings. Supports for EA are seen at 23.9/23.5 & below that at 20/19.5. The support zone from 23.9-23.5 should hold until the end of October in-order to be a significant support level, else the stock might break right through that. But if the support zone holds, also on a price movement basis, then this price level will be very important to watch. The lower support zone from 20-19.5 is the strongest lower support for the stock & the stock will have to hold this in the medium-term in-order to stay bullish in the long run.

The stock is seeing some resistance at 27.5, crossing which in the short to medium term will push the stock above it's recent high of 28, hence gaining further higher targets & heading for better returns of the long-term.
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Infosys 4 months into the new up-move

21/10/2013

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Infosys Daily Chart
Infosys Weekly Chart - Click to enlarge
Infosys Weekly Chart
Infosys has been on an up-move since the beginning of July 2013. This up-move began after a long 9-month period of extreme unsure & volatile price action. In this 4 month old up-move the stock has moved up over 35% & recently moved to a new three week high. In this up-move the stock has seen consistent gaps & has shown strength in the price points gained.

Support levels for the stock are at 3165, 2991 & 2700. The support at 3165 is a minor support that should help the stock hold present levels on a short term basis, 2991 however is a stronger support and more specifically the stop-loss for the stock. Breaching 2991 would not be a healthy sign for the stock & the stock might turn a little unstable & sideways. Below this a major support lies at 2700, this is a very important support to watch for especially for very long term investors as breaching 2700 would signal a bear market in the stock.

Resistance levels for the stock are at 3422 & 3833. Both these price points will also be the next price targets for the stock. The stock has almost fulfilled 3422 & is expected to further move towards 3833 very soon.

Even though the stock had experienced large sideways action the last time it attempted to go bullish including large volatile price action, as indicated in the weekly chart above, but so far the stocks technical outlook seems stable and very bullish. The support at 2991 would be very critical for medium term to long term investors in the stock & on holding this price point we might see the stock move up towards much higher levels.
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DJIA Index & the Government Shutdown Blues

16/10/2013

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Picture
We had looked at the possibility of the DJIA topping off in our recent video here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=d5fXv-cUvOI

The DJIA has been holding critical supports that we had discussed and is still showing steam despite the Government shutdown blues in the USA. Supports and resistances have shifted since we last discussed the index. The new important support zone on the DJIA is at 14800-14722.5, this is a zone and breaking this would be critical to the health of the index and for the health of the overall American markets.

The index has recently taken support above 15285, which will turn into a stronger support, once held significantly. A stronger resistance lies at 15655 close to the recent high on the DJIA. Minor resistances are at 16818 & 15480.

The DJIA index is still in the same bull run that it entered at the beginning of February 2013, as part of a larger bull market that began in 2009. But the index has seen very little performance since June 2013 and has entered a sideways zone. A break above this sideways zone i.e. a break through the resistance at 15655 significantly would propel the DJIA further forward or else we might see it weakening more, specially if the lower support zone ranging from 14800-14722.5 is broken.
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Stop Loss - Points to remember when placing a stop-loss

1/8/2013

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My video today is about the importance of placing a stop-loss & the points you will need to remember when placing a stop-loss. The video is in Hindi, follow the link to start watching.

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