Gold took off at the end of July, right after the break of an important pivot 28288 and headed for a very critical resistance at 35074.
We had covered this in our older video on gold here - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KlOwXyi0duc
Coming to the present, Gold has since then failed to cross over this critical resistance at 35074 even after making a new life-time high. After failing to sustain at higher levels we took an exit signal at the break of support at 30491 and in the last trading week we've seen the precious metal slip further lower, recently closing at 28441.5.
We're still out of Gold & would suggest investors to stay out for a while until & unless Gold does not breach important resistance levels. Strong resistance levels for Gold lie at the recent high 35074, but more importantly at 32735.5 & 31828.5, minor resistance lies at 29385. Since the commodity is moving lower, as of now we need to look at support levels which are at 27875 & 25635. Breach of support at 27875 would not be a very good thing for the commodity; as it will weaken further & the lower support mentioned below that at 25635 is only a weak support.
To move up and continue the bull run, Gold will have to sustain above the recent closing price & well above 32735. The zone between 32735 & 27875 will act as a sideways zone & Gold will have to break above this to be ready for investors to enter in it again.
Here's my opinion on Silver in US Dollars looking at Silver Continuous on COMEX & also in Indian Rupees looking at Silver 1KG 1 Month contract on MCX. I'm also looking at these two example to illustrate how correlation does not work for trading or investment. Included below are the charts, and also the details of support and resistances as seen on both the Silver contracts. Also do watch the videos below, in both English & Hindi for a more in-depth look at Silver.
We looked at Silver in April this year (linked below) & as suggested on the break of 51000 & 48500 Silver headed further downward & now is still looking weak at around 40500.
Will the down fall of silver end? Or is there more to go? - http://www.bluemetalmoney.com/4/post/2013/04/will-the-down-fall-of-silver-end-or-is-there-more-to-go.html
Now silver seems to be entering a base formation zone but it is still moving downwards. Strong long term resistances are at 54100 & 63490, minor resistances lie at 50190 & 59974. A critical support level is at 34558 & a very strong support lies at 26671. Minor support is also seen at 40370 which is just below the recent close price.
Supports – 40370, 34558, 26671
Resistances – 50190, 54100, 59974, 63490
For now Silver is continuing its downward trend and has not yet formed a base. If there is an up move, it might not sustain for a very long time, unless such an up-move is supported by a long sideways zone in the metal.